La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-06-27 01:46 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 7–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 42.66%2.34momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.641%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%42.66%42.67%43.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.252.252.3846.30%44.51%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.34%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.224%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.303%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.22%57.34%57.33%59.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7462.50%60.08%60.24%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.53%E +0.641%K +1.11%G +0.017%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-27 01:40
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.03%E -0.446%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-27 01:30
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.89%E -0.821%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-27 01:40
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.89%E -0.821%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-27 01:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.89%E -0.821%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 22:49
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.89%E -0.821%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.89%E -0.821%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.25%E -5.16%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 22:50
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 00:29
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 00:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 00:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 01:40
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 01:39
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 22:49
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 00:58
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:58
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 00:59
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 22:49
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 00:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 01:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 01:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 21:39
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:40
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:39
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:38
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:39
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 01:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:49
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 00:29
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 00:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 00:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 00:40
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.224%E -0.129%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 21:29
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 01:00
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 00:59
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:50
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 00:59
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 00:59
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 22:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 00:59
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.66%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 22:50
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 00:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 01:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 00:59
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.26%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 01:39
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.96%E -3.63%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 00:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 23:19
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 01:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.43%E -3.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:20
Betclic (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.64%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 01:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-27 01:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-27 01:20
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-06-27 01:30
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-06-27 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-06-27 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-06-27 01:40
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-26 22:49
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-27 01:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-06-27 01:10
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-06-27 01:29