Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-10 00:21 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 52.04%1.92odd justa
EV -0.604%
Vantagem -0.316%
Kelly -0.664%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.08%52.00%53.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.831.9156.50%54.44%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 47.96%2.09odd justa
EV -0.722%
Vantagem -0.349%
Kelly -0.675%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.95%47.92%48.00%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.992.002.0752.36%50.29%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 52.04%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 47.96%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -0.604%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.604%E -0.316%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.40%E -4.40%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.12%E -0.592%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 22:03
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.16%E -1.06%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 23:50
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 23:44
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.20%E -0.584%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.68%E -0.820%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 20:34
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.68%E -0.820%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 23:50
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-10 00:19
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.69%E -1.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.21%E -1.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.722%E -0.349%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.21%E -1.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.20%E -0.584%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.04%E -2.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.00%E -3.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:15
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.00%E -3.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:14
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.73%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 21:29
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 21:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.04%E -2.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 00:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:54
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.52%E -2.80%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.77%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 21:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.56%E -2.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.00%E -3.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.00%E -3.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.29%E -2.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.96%E -3.59%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.81%E -3.21%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 05:24
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 00:06
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 00:08
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.48%E -3.32%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.92%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.37%E -4.14%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.40%E -4.40%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.89%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.08%E -2.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 21:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-08-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-10 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-10 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-10 00:20
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-08-10 00:20
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 16:35
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-10 00:20
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-10 00:20
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-10 00:20
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-08-10 00:20