La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-10 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–5 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 44.99%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.115%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%45.00%44.96%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.142.2250.00%46.92%46.73%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 55.01%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.988%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.00%55.04%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.67%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.115%E -0.052%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 01:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.01%E -0.461%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 01:30
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.01%E -0.461%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 00:49
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.01%E -0.461%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 01:40
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.46%E -0.669%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 00:49
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.91%E -0.878%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.91%E -0.878%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 00:49
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.81%E -1.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.54%E -0.859%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 01:30
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.988%E -0.549%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 00:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 22:20
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 23:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 22:28
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 00:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 00:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 00:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 00:49
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 22:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 01:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.59%E -4.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 01:40
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 00:09
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 22:39
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:40
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:39
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:40
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.71%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 22:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:19
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.61%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 01:39
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.61%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 01:40
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.61%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 01:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.61%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 01:39
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.06%E -2.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 01:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 21:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:09
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 22:19
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:18
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:20
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:19
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:19
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 01:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 23:59
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.51%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 22:39
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 00:59
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 01:39
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 01:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 01:17
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 21:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-10 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-10 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-06-10 01:40
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-06-10 01:39
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-10 01:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-09 22:50
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-06-10 01:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-06-10 00:59
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-06-10 01:39