La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-06-25 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 5–2 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 48.40%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.784%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.747%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.91%48.39%48.41%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.972.0554.05%50.67%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 51.60%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.408%
Ventaja -0.211%
Kelly -0.439%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.65%51.61%51.59%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.851.851.9357.47%54.17%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.784%E -0.383%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 15:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.784%E -0.383%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.21%E -5.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.27%E -0.622%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-25 00:30
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.27%E -0.622%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-25 00:29
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.27%E -0.622%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-25 00:30
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.75%E -0.863%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 22:20
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.75%E -0.863%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 00:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 00:19
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-25 00:40
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-24 22:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 22:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 22:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 00:30
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 21:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 00:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.20%E -1.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 23:10
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.408%E -0.211%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 00:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.408%E -0.211%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 00:30
Everygame1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.924%E -0.481%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 22:39
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 21:10
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 21:30
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:19
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:30
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:40
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:40
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:30
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:30
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:30
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 21:20
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 00:28
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:20
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 00:40
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 00:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 21:10
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 00:19
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:29
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 00:38
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 21:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 00:38
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 22:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-25 00:28
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-25 00:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-25 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-06-25 00:39
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-25 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-25 00:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-06-25 00:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-24 21:20
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-25 00:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-06-25 00:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-06-25 00:40