L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 16:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 47.24%2.12cote équitable
EV +0.154%
Avantage +0.073%
Kelly +0.138%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.79%47.42%47.37%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.042.042.1252.63%49.00%48.90%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.76%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.816%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%52.58%52.63%55.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.67%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:25
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:25
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.26%E -5.38%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:25
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.26%E -5.38%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.26%E -5.38%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.154%E +0.073%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.26%E -5.38%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:25
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.318%E -0.151%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 16:34
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.318%E -0.151%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 16:34
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.791%E -0.377%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.791%E -0.377%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 16:34
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.26%E -0.604%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 16:20
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.68%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.34%E -0.718%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 16:29
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.68%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:40
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:29
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.09%E -3.42%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:34
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.62%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:25
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.62%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:05
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.98%E -2.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:05
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.10%E -2.02%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 16:04
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 16:00
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.98%E -2.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 16:34
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 16:05
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:34
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.40%E -1.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 15:40
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 16:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 15:44
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.98%E -2.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.98%E -2.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 15:49
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 15:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.51%E -2.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:35
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.46%E -3.26%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.46%E -3.26%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 16:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.82%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.29%E -4.84%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.816%E -0.434%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:34
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.29%E -4.84%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.816%E -0.434%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 16:34
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.40%E -1.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 16:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-04-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-08 16:35
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-08 16:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-08 16:35
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-04-08 16:35
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-08 16:35
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-04-08 16:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%3.5%2026-04-08 16:35