مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.94%1.79السعر العادل
EV -0.419%
الأفضلية -0.235%
Kelly -0.537%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.09%55.78%56.04%57.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.711.711.7859.88%58.38%58.48%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.06%2.27السعر العادل
EV +1.33%
الأفضلية +0.577%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.64%44.22%43.96%45.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.22%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.33%E +0.577%K +1.02%G +0.014%2.0%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.006%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.006%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 22:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 21:59
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.54%E -0.874%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-06 22:35
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.54%E -0.874%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.64%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:20
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 21:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 22:34
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 21:45
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 21:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 17:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:35
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 22:40
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 18:40
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 18:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 18:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 22:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 22:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 20:35
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:40
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 20:35
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.33%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -0.419%E -0.235%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:35
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:35
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:35
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.69%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.69%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.69%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-04-06 22:30
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-06 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-06 22:30
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-06 22:39
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 18:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 18:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-06 22:40