Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-05-31 17:36 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–3 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 60.06%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.96%60.15%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.6464.52%62.57%62.50%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 39.94%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.04%39.85%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.402.4544.44%42.01%41.67%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 60.06%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.94%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.64, con un valor esperado de -1.49%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.49%E -0.912%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 17:30
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.49%E -0.912%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.10%E -1.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.16%E -0.880%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.16%E -0.880%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 16:40
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.16%E -0.880%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 16:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.16%E -0.880%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 16:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.36%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 16:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:29
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:29
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:30
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.30%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 17:29
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:58
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:29
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.95%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.14%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 16:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:30
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:50
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.55%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 17:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.95%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.15%E -3.54%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.30%E -4.04%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.15%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.90%E -4.45%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 17:30
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-31 17:30
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-05-31 17:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-31 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-31 17:30
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-05-31 16:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-31 17:30