Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-09-06 17:37 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 1–0 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 61.32%1.63odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.74%61.21%61.44%62.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.17%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 38.68%2.59odd justa
EV -0.207%
Vantagem -0.080%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.79%38.56%40.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.75%40.82%38.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 61.32%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 38.68%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.59. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.58, com valor esperado de -0.207%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:35
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -0.980%E -0.383%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 16:10
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.37%E -0.536%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 16:04
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.37%E -0.536%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:15
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.37%E -0.536%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.50%E -1.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 17:15
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.53%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 17:15
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.11%E -1.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:00
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.73%E -2.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.53%E -1.00%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.07%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -0.207%E -0.080%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:35
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.46%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:24
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.95%E -3.20%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.37%E -0.536%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 15:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.07%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.57%E -3.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 16:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.41%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.88%E -4.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.37%E -0.536%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.02%E -5.35%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-06 17:35
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-06 17:15
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-06 17:35
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-09-06 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-09-06 17:30
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%5.8%2026-09-06 17:35