La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-06-28 17:36 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–4 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 55.62%1.80quota equa
EV +0.118%
Vantaggio +0.066%
Kelly +0.148%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.23%55.68%55.70%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.06%58.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.38%2.25quota equa
EV +0.296%
Vantaggio +0.131%
Kelly +0.235%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%44.32%44.30%45.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.152.152.2648.78%46.59%46.51%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.296%E +0.131%K +0.235%G +0.001%2.4%2026-06-28 17:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.04%E -0.464%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 17:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.48%E -0.666%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 16:09
Everygame1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.48%E -0.666%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 16:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.48%E -0.666%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:29
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 16:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.22%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 16:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:29
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:30
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:09
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.118%E +0.066%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.14%E -1.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 12:49
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.14%E -1.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.14%E -1.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 17:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 00:28
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 15:09
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:50
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:09
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:10
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 16:19
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 15:40
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 05:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 15:39
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 15:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 13:19
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:09
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 04:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:29
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 17:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 18:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.69%E -3.70%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 17:09
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.14%E -3.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 17:28
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 15:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-28 17:29
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-28 15:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-28 17:00
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-06-28 17:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-28 17:30