A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-26 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 12–1 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 55.72%1.79odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%55.73%55.74%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7660.61%58.30%58.48%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 44.28%2.26odd justa
EV -0.373%
Vantagem -0.166%
Kelly -0.299%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.27%44.26%45.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.30%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.93%E -1.10%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.70%E -0.767%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 22:20
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.49%E -1.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.70%E -0.767%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 20:20
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.49%E -1.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.14%E -0.970%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 22:30
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.49%E -1.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.24%E -2.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:30
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.373%E -0.166%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 22:39
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.373%E -0.166%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 20:40
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.70%E -0.767%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.70%E -0.767%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 22:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.70%E -0.767%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 22:40
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 22:38
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 16:30
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 15:19
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.60%E -2.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.24%E -2.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 22:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.60%E -2.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.57%E -3.11%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.60%E -2.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 22:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.60%E -2.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.23%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 20:20
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.92%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.92%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 22:30
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 22:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.13%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:39
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.13%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.13%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.16%E -2.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 22:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 22:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 20:39
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.36%E -2.02%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 20:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 20:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 22:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 20:40
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 20:40
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 22:38
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.72%E -2.76%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 22:39
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 20:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.02%E -3.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.23%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.83%E -3.45%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.83%E -3.45%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 22:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.95%E -4.16%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.06%E -4.88%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 21:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-26 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-26 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-26 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-26 22:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-26 22:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-26 17:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-26 22:40
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-05-26 22:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-05-26 22:40