L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 22:41 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 2–3 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 50.00%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.94%49.95%50.00%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.41%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.00%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%50.05%50.00%51.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.901.901.9654.05%52.56%52.63%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 22:25
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 22:15
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 21:15
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 20:05
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 22:35
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 22:35
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-24 22:40
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 21:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 21:00
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 19:15
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:35
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 20:54
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 20:59
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 16:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 19:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 17:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:35
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:33
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:34
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 16:55
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:20
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:14
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 21:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:35
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:10
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 22:40
Bet Right1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 19:25
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 22:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 20:14
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 22:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:24
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 22:40
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:40
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:34
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-07-24 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-07-24 22:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-24 20:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-24 21:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-24 22:40
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-07-24 22:20
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-07-24 22:40