Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-14 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 8–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 47.80%2.09odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.512%
Kelly -0.990%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%47.76%47.78%48.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.002.002.0751.81%50.02%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 52.20%1.92odd justa
EV -0.293%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.322%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.28%52.24%52.22%53.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.74%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 47.80%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 52.20%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -0.293%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.06%E -0.512%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:34
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.54%E -0.746%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 21:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.02%E -0.983%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.86%E -0.989%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.02%E -0.983%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 21:44
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.02%E -0.983%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 21:44
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.02%E -0.983%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.60%E -4.29%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:09
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.86%E -0.989%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:29
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:24
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:29
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 22:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:30
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.293%E -0.153%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 21:48
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:19
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:25
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:35
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:14
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 21:54
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.51%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 21:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 21:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.12%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 22:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:33
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:34
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:38
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.43%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.04%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.75%E -4.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:28
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -7.75%E -4.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.12%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-08-14 22:00
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-14 21:44
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-14 22:39
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:59
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-14 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-14 22:39
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-08-14 22:39
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.3%2026-08-14 22:39