Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-15 23:16 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 0–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 46.78%2.14odd justa
EV +0.578%
Vantagem +0.269%
Kelly +0.503%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.79%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.042.042.1551.81%49.10%49.02%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 53.22%1.88odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.544%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.21%53.25%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8657.47%55.47%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 46.78%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 53.22%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.578%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.578%E +0.269%K +0.503%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 22:59
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.825%E -0.389%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.29%E -0.613%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.08%E -1.13%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-15 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.29%E -0.613%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.29%E -0.613%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.76%E -0.838%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.08%E -1.13%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.838%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.838%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.838%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 22:59
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.76%E -0.838%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.40%E -4.25%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:34
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.70%E -1.30%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.54%E -0.835%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 22:49
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.16%E -1.53%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.01%E -0.544%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 21:29
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.16%E -1.53%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:29
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.16%E -1.53%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 22:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:59
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 23:09
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.54%E -0.835%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.54%E -0.835%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:09
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 23:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:10
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:09
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.84%E -3.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.84%E -3.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.31%E -4.24%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 23:03
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.21%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 23:03
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.71%E -5.03%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-08-15 23:14
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%0.4%2026-08-15 23:10
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 23:04
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-15 23:05
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-15 17:34
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-08-15 21:34
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-08-15 22:15