Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 20:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 51.02%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.881.9255.56%53.19%53.19%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.98%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%48.94%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.941.942.0152.91%51.58%51.55%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pittsburgh Pirates (Local) : 51.02% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 48.98%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.01, pour une espérance de -1.55% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.55%E -0.772%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-04 19:44
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:34
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:34
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 19:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 20:24
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:40
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:40
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.00%E -2.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:59
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.96%E -3.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.08%E -2.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.96%E -3.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:29
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:14
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 15:24
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:25
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.46%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 19:33
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 14:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.61%E -3.03%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.12%E -3.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.96%E -3.10%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.04%E -1.02%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.16%E -4.54%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.51%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:02
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-04 20:04
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62%0.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-04 20:05
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-04 20:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-04 15:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-04 19:34
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-04-04 17:04
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-04-04 20:05