預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

開賽時間: 2026-08-19 22:06 UTC

最終賽果: Philadelphia Phillies 4–1 Miami Marlins

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Philadelphia Phillies (主隊)

預測 57.04%1.75公平賠率
EV -0.745%
優勢 -0.428%
Kelly -1.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
54.69%57.01%57.07%58.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.46%59.52%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Miami Marlins (客隊)

預測 42.96%2.33公平賠率
EV +0.519%
優勢 +0.222%
Kelly +0.388%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 2.34

博彩公司預測分布
41.56%42.99%42.93%45.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.212.202.3447.62%45.15%45.45%42.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Philadelphia Phillies (主隊):57.04%;Miami Marlins (客隊):42.96%。 對於「Miami Marlins (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.33的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.34,對應+0.519%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV +0.519%E +0.222%K +0.388%G +0.002%1.9%2026-08-19 21:29
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.090%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.340%E -0.146%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -0.769%E -0.333%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 21:55
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.06%E -0.903%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 21:25
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.06%E -0.903%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 21:19
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.745%E -0.428%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-19 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.73%E -5.46%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 21:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.06%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:20
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 21:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.78%E -3.13%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.78%E -3.13%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.02%E -4.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 22:00
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.745%E -0.428%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:19
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:53
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-08-19 21:55
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-19 22:00
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-19 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-19 22:00
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-19 21:35
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-08-19 21:35
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-19 21:50
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-08-19 22:00