La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-05-24 17:36 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 48.67%2.05quota equa
EV -0.227%
Vantaggio -0.111%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.67%48.49%48.75%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.971.952.0552.36%50.88%51.28%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.33%1.95quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -0.753%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.51%51.25%53.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.861.851.9257.14%53.86%54.05%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.227%E -0.111%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.20%E -0.591%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.69%E -0.835%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 15:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.69%E -0.835%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 15:19
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.69%E -0.835%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 15:19
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.69%E -0.835%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 14:30
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.45%E -0.753%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 16:30
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:00
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 14:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.15%E -5.17%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 12:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 17:29
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:30
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:00
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:39
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 14:40
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 17:30
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:29
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:39
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:30
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:28
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:29
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:29
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:29
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:29
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:29
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 14:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 14:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 14:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 14:30
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:30
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:29
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-05-24 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-24 17:30
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-24 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-24 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-24 17:30
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-05-24 17:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-24 15:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-24 14:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-24 17:30
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%3.6%2026-05-24 17:30