Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-06-05 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 8–6 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 62.49%1.60odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.61%62.31%62.50%63.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.531.531.5766.67%65.49%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 37.51%2.67odd justa
EV -0.598%
Vantagem -0.226%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.56%37.69%37.50%39.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.18%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 62.49%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 37.51%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.598%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.89%E -1.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.10%E -0.804%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-05 20:30
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.89%E -1.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.89%E -1.20%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 22:39
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 03:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 21:59
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.10%E -3.31%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 20:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.98%E -4.16%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.598%E -0.226%K -0.362%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.973%E -0.369%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.973%E -0.369%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 20:29
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.72%E -0.658%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 20:29
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-05 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 22:29
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 20:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.98%E -4.16%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.97%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 19:29
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 21:29
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.97%E -2.81%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 19:50
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.97%E -2.81%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.98%E -4.16%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.98%E -4.16%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.598%E -0.226%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 19:29
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 01:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 02:59
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 21:30
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:09
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.10%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 22:29
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.72%E -0.658%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 21:09
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -2.85%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 21:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 21:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 06:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.85%E -3.64%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 22:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-06-05 22:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-05 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-06-05 22:00
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-06-05 22:39
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-05 20:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-06-05 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-06-05 22:20