L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 20:06 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 3–6 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 55.48%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.135%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.169%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%55.53%55.47%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.721.721.8059.52%58.12%58.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.52%2.25cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.466%
Kelly +0.834%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%44.47%44.53%45.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.162.152.2749.02%46.37%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.06%E +0.466%K +0.834%G +0.009%1.9%2026-06-06 19:49
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.169%E +0.075%K +0.135%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-06 19:39
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV +0.169%E +0.075%K +0.135%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.24%E -3.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.169%E +0.075%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.277%E -0.124%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 19:49
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.277%E -0.124%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 19:49
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.277%E -0.124%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 19:50
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.35%E -1.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.61%E -0.730%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 19:39
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-06 19:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 19:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 19:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 19:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.24%E -3.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.06%E -0.935%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 19:38
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 19:48
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.24%E -3.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.95%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.39%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.39%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 19:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.39%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 19:49
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.39%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 17:19
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.135%E -0.075%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-06 14:00
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 12:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:28
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.80%E -1.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 16:09
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.80%E -1.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 16:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 04:29
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 19:49
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.13%E -3.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:29
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:29
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.28%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.17%E -2.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 12:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.91%E -1.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:10
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 11:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 11:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:19
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 12:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 12:49
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.79%E -4.04%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.62%E -2.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 20:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 13:19
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.46%E -1.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.95%E -3.33%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 13:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.02%E -2.32%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.57%E -2.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 10:20
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -5.68%E -3.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -9.18%E -4.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-06-06 20:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-06-06 19:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-06 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-06 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-06 19:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-06 04:50
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-06 19:49
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-06-06 19:49