Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-06-07 17:36 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 9–5 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 60.42%1.66odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%60.35%60.45%61.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.581.6265.36%63.15%63.29%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 39.58%2.53odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.578%
Kelly -0.966%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.00%39.65%39.55%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.4944.44%41.54%41.67%40.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 60.42%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 39.58%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.49, com valor esperado de -1.44%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.84%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-07 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.44%E -0.578%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:30
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.84%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 16:49
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.84%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.23%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.23%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.23%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 17:09
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-07 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 14:49
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 16:19
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 11:38
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:18
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.33%E -2.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 17:22
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 12:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 15:49
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 09:29
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 13:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 15:08
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 14:49
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 11:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 11:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 15:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 14:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 05:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 05:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 05:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 05:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 12:38
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:30
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 03:09
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.14%E -3.28%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 04:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.75%E -3.68%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.42%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.68%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.68%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.68%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.68%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 16:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.35%E -4.10%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 06:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.17%E -3.52%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 17:08
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-07 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-06-07 17:29
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-07 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-07 17:00
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.34%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.66%0.4%2026-06-07 17:30
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-07 17:29
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-07 17:30
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-06-07 17:30