A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics

Início: 2026-05-07 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–12 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 54.35%1.84odd justa
EV -0.545%
Vantagem -0.298%
Kelly -0.656%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.29%54.26%55.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.89%57.14%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 45.65%2.19odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.859%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%45.71%45.74%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.77%47.62%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.545%E -0.298%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-07 21:40
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 22:39
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 22:35
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 22:35
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 22:38
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:40
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 22:40
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 22:04
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 22:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 21:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 22:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 22:25
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.96%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:34
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 21:40
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.22%E -1.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 22:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.50%E -2.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:29
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.50%E -2.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 20:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 15:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 15:14
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 15:15
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:34
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 20:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 22:34
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 22:39
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 15:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 11:55
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 22:40
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 22:40
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 22:39
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 19:38
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 11:15
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-07 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-07 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-07 22:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-07 18:15
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-07 17:15
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-05-07 22:39
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-07 22:40
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-07 22:40
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-05-07 22:40