Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-05-24 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–0 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 56.17%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.08%56.24%57.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.7661.73%58.46%58.48%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 43.83%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%43.92%43.76%45.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.162.2548.78%46.11%46.30%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 56.17%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 43.83%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.76, con un valor esperado de -1.15%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.15%E -0.652%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:30
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.37%E -0.611%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.37%E -0.611%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 17:30
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.37%E -0.611%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-24 17:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.81%E -0.809%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.25%E -1.01%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:20
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.34%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:18
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 17:19
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:30
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:29
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.08%E -3.00%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 17:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.01%E -5.56%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 17:30
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 17:20
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 17:20
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-24 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-24 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-24 17:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-05-24 17:30