Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v New York Mets

Início: 2026-09-12 17:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 59.69%1.68odd justa
EV -0.911%
Vantagem -0.549%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%59.73%59.74%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.601.6665.36%62.71%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 40.31%2.48odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -0.859%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.27%40.26%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.292.372.382.4543.67%42.19%42.02%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 59.69%; New York Mets (Visitante): 40.31%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.68. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.66, com valor esperado de -0.911%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -0.911%E -0.549%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 16:50
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.65%E -0.676%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 15:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.05%E -0.845%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 15:00
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.10%E -1.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 14:59
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.70%E -1.66%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 16:30
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.25%E -0.509%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.68%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 15:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.30%E -2.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 15:25
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 16:35
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.08%E -2.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.08%E -2.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.90%E -2.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:25
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.49%E -2.81%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.47%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.09%E -3.20%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.86%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.69%E -3.60%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:35
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.28%E -4.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.88%E -4.41%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -7.70%E -3.36%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.48%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.48%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.48%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.48%E -4.82%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.67%E -5.67%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-09-12 16:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-09-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-09-12 17:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-09-12 17:35
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-12 15:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-12 14:50
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-12 17:35
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-09-12 17:35
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%6.8%2026-09-12 17:35