Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v New York Mets

2026-09-13 17:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 61.97%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.01%61.96%62.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.541.531.5967.11%65.10%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 38.03%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.348%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%37.99%38.04%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6241.67%39.91%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Yankees (Local): 61.97%; New York Mets (Visitante): 38.03%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.62, con un valor esperado de -0.348%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.48%E -0.928%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:15
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.348%E -0.133%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.11%E -0.427%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.11%E -0.427%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.39%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.77%E -1.49%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.15%E -1.65%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.67%E -2.29%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.67%E -2.29%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.67%E -2.29%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:09
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.87%E -0.725%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.39%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.05%E -2.45%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:19
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-12 20:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%8.5%2026-09-12 20:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74%10.3%2026-09-12 18:45