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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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New York Yankees v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-09-13 17:56 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–0 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 61.69%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.681%
Ventaja -0.423%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%61.50%61.69%62.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.551.6167.11%64.60%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 38.31%2.61momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.449%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.50%38.31%41.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.502.5843.48%40.36%40.00%38.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 61.69%; New York Mets (Visitante): 38.31%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.61, con un valor esperado de -0.681%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.681%E -0.423%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.88%E -5.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:55
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.91%E -1.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.92%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 16:40
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.91%E -1.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 14:37
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.16%E -0.449%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 17:01
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.92%E -0.752%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:45
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.53%E -1.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 14:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.15%E -2.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.69%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.15%E -2.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.15%E -2.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.15%E -2.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.15%E -2.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 01:20
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:38
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.77%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:09
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 14:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 14:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 13:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.90%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.88%E -5.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:44
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.38%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.88%E -5.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.69%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:39
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 10:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 17:55
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.97%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.85%E -4.54%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:27
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.43%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-09-13 17:55
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-13 17:40
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-13 15:10
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-13 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-09-13 17:55