La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 63.83%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.64%63.86%65.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.79%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 36.17%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.524%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.299%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%36.36%36.14%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.642.652.7540.82%37.84%37.74%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.07%E -0.689%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -3.42%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 20:54
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.34%E -1.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.61%E -0.592%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.34%E -1.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.38%E -4.64%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.98%E -1.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.98%E -1.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.38%E -4.64%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:04
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.524%E -0.190%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.524%E -0.190%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.524%E -0.190%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.97%E -0.727%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:04
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 20:04
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.50%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:54
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.03%E -2.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:05
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.62%E -2.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.03%E -2.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:04
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.33%E -0.864%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 15:09
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:39
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:34
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:25
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:24
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:24
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:24
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.50%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 20:04
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 11:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 11:28
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 19:39
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 08:05
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:44
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.33%E -0.864%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.42%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:01
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:24
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:24
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:04
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.524%E -0.190%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 20:09
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:19
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.17%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.524%E -0.190%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:55
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.17%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 11:34
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.17%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 11:34
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.17%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 11:34
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.17%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.95%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.81%E -4.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:04
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 20:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-04 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.43%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.57%0.8%2026-04-04 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-04-04 23:05
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-04-04 22:39
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-04-04 23:05
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-04-04 17:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-04-04 23:04