La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-04-13 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 11–10 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 61.77%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%61.72%61.69%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.551.5966.67%64.82%64.52%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 38.23%2.62momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.489%
Kelly +0.786%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%38.28%38.31%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.79%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.30%E +0.489%K +0.786%G +0.010%4.4%2026-04-13 12:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.30%E +0.489%K +0.786%G +0.010%4.4%2026-04-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.30%E +0.489%K +0.786%G +0.010%4.4%2026-04-13 23:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +0.150%E +0.057%K +0.093%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +0.150%E +0.057%K +0.093%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:00
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.997%E -0.385%K -0.627%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:50
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.40%E -1.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.38%E -0.535%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 23:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.38%E -0.535%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 19:40
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.78%E -1.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 19:50
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.40%E -1.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.40%E -1.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-13 23:05
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 19:40
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.78%E -1.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 23:04
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 22:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 22:54
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:55
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 20:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 11:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 20:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:03
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.40%E -1.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 23:04
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:54
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:55
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 10:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:55
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:00
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:00
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:00
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 23:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 21:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 03:39
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 22:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 23:04
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 20:39
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:05
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:04
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.40%E -1.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 23:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 23:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 22:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-04-13 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-13 23:04
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-13 21:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-13 21:15
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-13 23:05
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-04-13 23:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%2.0%2026-04-13 23:05
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-04-13 23:05