L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 17:36 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 13–4 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 59.62%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.60%59.52%61.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.591.6665.36%62.69%62.89%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.38%2.48cote équitable
EV -0.655%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%40.40%40.48%41.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.402.4644.44%41.95%41.67%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.04%E -0.625%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.04%E -0.625%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 17:35
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.04%E -0.625%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 17:35
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.63%E -0.990%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 15:30
theScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.23%E -1.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.27%E -0.938%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 17:00
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.655%E -0.266%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 17:20
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.655%E -0.266%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 17:30
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 16:44
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.27%E -0.938%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 16:20
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.69%E -1.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:15
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:10
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:40
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.29%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.29%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 14:14
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 15:25
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:15
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:14
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:34
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.06%E -0.432%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 17:09
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 14:30
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:14
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 17:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:34
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 17:30
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:09
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 17:15
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 17:35
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 17:25
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:09
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.87%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 17:10
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 17:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 01:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:39
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 17:09
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.60%E -4.90%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 06:34
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.79%E -5.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.06%E -0.432%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-18 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-18 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-18 17:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-18 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-18 17:35
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-04-18 17:15
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-18 17:35
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-18 17:35
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-04-18 17:35
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%4.5%2026-04-18 17:35