Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 7–9 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 57.06%1.75odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.748%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.07%57.05%57.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.54%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 42.94%2.33odd justa
EV -0.369%
Vantagem -0.159%
Kelly -0.280%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%42.93%42.95%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.222.202.3246.73%45.10%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 57.06%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 42.94%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.32, com valor esperado de -0.369%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.29%E -0.748%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.915%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 19:29
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.915%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 09:09
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.23%E -0.534%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 23:04
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.23%E -0.534%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 19:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.23%E -0.534%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 05:03
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.23%E -0.534%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 20:17
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-25 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-25 23:04
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-25 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 21:04
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.369%E -0.159%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 21:44
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.95%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:04
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 05:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.95%E -2.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 22:33
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:04
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.58%E -2.12%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 21:09
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 05:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:04
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:04
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:04
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.23%E -0.534%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 21:19
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:03
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 06:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 22:54
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.00%E -4.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.10%E -3.78%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 22:37
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 20:39
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.10%E -3.78%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-25 23:04
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-25 22:54
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-25 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-25 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-25 23:04
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-25 17:00
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-08-25 23:04
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-08-25 22:49