Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-06-30 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 3–9 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 50.78%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.473%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.493%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%50.88%50.80%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.851.9655.56%53.52%53.91%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 49.22%2.03momio equitativo
EV -0.574%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.12%49.20%50.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.32%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 50.78%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 49.22%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.96, con un valor esperado de -0.473%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.473%E -0.241%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.981%E -0.503%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.981%E -0.503%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.981%E -0.503%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 22:59
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.981%E -0.503%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 22:59
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.981%E -0.503%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.00%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.00%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.50%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 22:59
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.50%E -1.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 23:00
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.50%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:49
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.03%E -2.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.574%E -0.284%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 22:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 17:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 22:58
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 21:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.55%E -2.98%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.53%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.55%E -2.98%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 21:00
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 21:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 19:39
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.27%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.57%E -3.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.53%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 21:39
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 21:18
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 20:59
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 20:59
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 20:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 20:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 20:59
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.53%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.53%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.07%E -3.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.58%E -4.17%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.51%E -2.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 16:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.56%E -0.779%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.99%E -3.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-06-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-06-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-06-30 23:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-30 23:00
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-30 23:00
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-30 23:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-30 20:09
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-06-30 23:00
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%6.2%2026-06-30 22:59