Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-29 17:07 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 0–6 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 50.40%1.98odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%50.42%50.46%54.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.881.9655.56%53.00%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 49.60%2.02odd justa
EV +6.63%
Vantagem +3.08%
Kelly +5.76%
Crescimento +0.382%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.57%49.58%49.54%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.932.1554.05%51.80%51.81%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 50.40%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 49.60%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.02. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -9.27%E -5.15%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +6.63%E +3.08%K +5.76%G +0.382%2.1%2026-08-29 16:38
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV +0.182%E +0.090%K +0.178%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-29 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.810%E -0.405%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.910%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -4.23%E -2.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -1.80%E -0.910%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%EV -1.21%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:00
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.72%E -1.41%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 15:38
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.73%E -2.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.73%E -2.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.615%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 15:35
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.21%E -1.14%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 16:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.71%E -0.877%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.29%E -1.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.29%E -1.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.29%E -1.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.29%E -1.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 15:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 17:03
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.79%E -1.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.73%E -2.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.28%E -2.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.73%E -2.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:24
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.77%E -3.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.23%E -2.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.77%E -3.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.73%E -2.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.77%E -3.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.77%E -3.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.76%E -3.60%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.76%E -3.60%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.27%E -5.15%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.76%E -3.60%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 16:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.07%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.25%E -3.94%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-29 17:05
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%0.3%2026-08-29 17:04
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-29 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-08-29 17:00
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%7.8%2026-08-29 17:04