A Escola das Odds

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 6–1 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 56.42%1.77odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.719%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%56.34%56.78%58.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.88%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 43.58%2.29odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.657%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%43.66%43.22%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.982.222.252.3350.51%45.04%44.44%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +1.53%E +0.657%K +1.15%G +0.018%2.1%2026-06-07 17:49
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.225%E +0.098%K +0.173%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.72%E -6.08%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.225%E +0.098%K +0.173%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 17:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.211%E -0.092%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:36
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.647%E -0.284%K -0.505%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-07 17:39
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 17:50
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:49
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:49
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:50
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:49
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:49
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:48
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:50
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.95%E -0.869%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 17:49
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 17:50
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.39%E -1.07%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 17:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 17:50
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.34%E -3.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:42
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 17:45
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:49
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.70%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 17:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:48
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.26%E -0.719%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.62%E -3.59%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.67%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.67%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.67%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 17:49
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.08%E -2.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.67%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 17:46
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -5.21%E -3.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -13.72%E -6.93%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 17:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-07 17:50
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-07 17:49
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-06-07 17:50
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-07 17:36
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-07 17:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-06-07 17:49
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%10.9%2026-06-07 17:50