Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-30 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 16–1 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 42.70%2.34odd justa
EV +0.350%
Vantagem +0.149%
Kelly +0.259%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.83%42.71%42.71%44.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.212.3547.62%44.90%45.15%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 57.30%1.75odd justa
EV -0.302%
Vantagem -0.174%
Kelly -0.408%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.98%57.29%57.29%58.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.591.681.671.7462.89%59.61%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 42.70%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 57.30%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.350%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.350%E +0.149%K +0.259%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.17%E -1.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 17:34
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.504%E -0.216%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.17%E -1.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.36%E -0.588%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.36%E -0.588%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 15:49
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.78%E -0.776%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 15:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.21%E -0.966%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.45%E -0.842%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 17:30
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.17%E -1.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 16:03
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.74%E -2.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 16:00
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.74%E -2.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 16:34
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:35
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.92%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.18%E -4.43%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:35
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -4.77%E -2.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -0.302%E -0.174%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:29
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.77%E -2.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.89%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.20%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:28
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.20%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.20%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.20%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:53
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.20%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:55
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -5.63%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -8.90%E -5.60%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.875%E -0.506%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.875%E -0.506%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.74%E -2.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 15:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.89%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.03%E -3.68%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.18%E -4.43%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:35
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.91%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.34%E -3.38%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.59%E -1.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.19%E -3.81%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.60%E -4.05%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.62%E -4.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.74%E -2.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.62%E -4.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.74%E -2.23%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.03%E -3.68%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%0.4%2026-08-30 17:30
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-30 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-30 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-30 17:35
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-30 16:05
BetOpenly◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-08-30 17:34
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%8.1%2026-08-30 17:35