Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-05-02 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 9–4 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 60.49%1.65odd justa
EV -0.804%
Vantagem -0.491%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.14%60.37%60.47%61.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.591.6465.36%63.04%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 39.51%2.53odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.485%
Kelly -0.808%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.61%39.63%39.53%40.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.56%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 60.49%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 39.51%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.65. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.64, com valor esperado de -0.804%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -0.804%E -0.491%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.00%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.00%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 17:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.21%E -0.485%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 14:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.00%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 17:17
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.40%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.40%E -0.971%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.93%E -3.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:34
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.62%E -1.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.93%E -3.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:34
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.61%E -0.646%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 15:55
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.74%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:34
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.77%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.43%E -2.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:34
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.00%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.37%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.37%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 15:04
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.00%E -0.808%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.25%E -4.03%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.25%E -4.03%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.12%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.85%E -4.45%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.46%E -4.87%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-02 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-02 17:30
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-02 17:35
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-02 17:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.63%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.37%1.2%2026-05-02 17:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-02 13:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-05-02 17:35