Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-08-08 19:08 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 42.48%2.35odd justa
EV +0.671%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.490%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%42.47%42.42%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3747.62%44.46%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 57.52%1.74odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.957%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.53%57.58%59.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7162.50%60.13%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 42.48%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 57.52%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.671%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.671%E +0.283%K +0.490%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 16:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:49
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -0.603%E -0.258%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.603%E -0.258%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 18:49
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.03%E -0.441%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.88%E -0.813%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-08 17:00
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.88%E -0.813%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 18:51
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:14
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 18:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.58%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:43
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.00%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:34
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:50
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:34
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:44
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:54
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:54
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:54
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 18:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:54
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:54
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:49
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:53
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-08-08 18:59
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-08 19:00
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-08 18:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-08 19:00
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 18:20
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 17:59
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-08 18:45