Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-04-07 23:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 69.32%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.180%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%69.03%69.43%70.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.371.4475.19%72.72%72.99%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 30.68%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.544%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.69%30.97%30.57%33.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.153.2235.09%32.10%31.75%31.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 69.32%; Athletics (Visitante): 30.68%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.443. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.440, con un valor esperado de -0.180%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.180%E -0.125%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 05:30
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -0.873%E -0.611%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-07 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -1.57%E -1.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.57%E -1.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 23:04
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -4.28%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 22:54
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 23:04
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.95%E -2.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.65%E -2.62%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -3.65%E -2.62%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:05
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -1.21%E -0.375%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -2.74%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:55
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:40
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:29
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.34%E -3.14%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.44%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:04
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.21%E -0.375%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:29
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:25
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:25
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:24
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.82%E -0.569%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.05%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.36%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 22:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.42%E -4.75%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 22:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-07 22:25
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-07 23:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-07 22:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-04-07 23:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-07 22:55
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-04-07 23:00