Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-08-19 17:12 UTC

Final: New York Mets 4–2 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 43.72%2.29odd justa
EV -0.766%
Vantagem -0.338%
Kelly -0.603%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.72%43.72%45.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.182.172.2748.08%45.87%46.08%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 56.28%1.78odd justa
EV -0.939%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.87%56.28%56.28%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.18%59.35%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 43.72%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 56.28%. Para New York Mets (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.27, com valor esperado de -0.766%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.766%E -0.338%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.63%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 17:04
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 12:10
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 16:35
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 12:17
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:00
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.64%E -0.729%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 15:45
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.08%E -0.928%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.08%E -0.928%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.63%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.08%E -0.928%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.63%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 17:05
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.08%E -0.928%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 16:50
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.95%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.63%E -1.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 16:44
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.26%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.70%E -2.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.75%E -2.19%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.14%E -2.37%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 17:10
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 17:10
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 16:40
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.57%E -2.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 15:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 17:10
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.01%E -2.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.45%E -3.01%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -0.939%E -0.534%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-19 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.45%E -3.01%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.32%E -3.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.32%E -3.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.32%E -3.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.32%E -3.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.00%E -3.60%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.88%E -2.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 16:43
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.20%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 17:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -9.07%E -4.36%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-19 17:10
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-19 17:10
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-19 12:10
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-08-19 16:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-19 17:10
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-08-19 15:10
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%3.9%2026-08-19 17:10