Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-08-18 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 2–5 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

48%

52%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 47.55%2.10quota equa

EV +21.25%

Vantaggio +8.33%

Kelly +13.71%

Crescita +2.91%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

37.04%46.36%47.61%49.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.862.102.002.5553.76%47.73%50.00%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.45%1.91quota equa

EV +1.23%

Vantaggio +0.639%

Kelly +1.33%

Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

50.77%53.64%52.39%62.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.491.761.821.9367.11%56.74%54.95%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 47.55%; San Diego Padres (Trasferta): 52.45%. Per New York Mets (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.10. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +21.25%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +21.25%E +8.33%K +13.71%G +2.91%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -21.32%E -14.21%K -42.64%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-18 23:10
Casumo🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
betPARX🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
Caesars🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +18.87%E +7.55%K +12.58%G +2.37%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -20.27%E -13.34%K -38.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
Betway🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +16.49%E +6.73%K +11.37%G +1.88%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -19.75%E -12.91%K -37.26%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-18 23:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +16.49%E +6.73%K +11.37%G +1.88%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -20.80%E -13.77%K -40.78%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +16.49%E +6.73%K +11.37%G +1.88%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -20.80%E -13.77%K -40.78%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-18 23:10
BetRivers🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV +15.54%E +6.40%K +10.87%G +1.69%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -21.32%E -14.21%K -42.64%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +14.11%E +5.88%K +10.08%G +1.42%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -21.85%E -14.66%K -44.58%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
FanDuel🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.10%E -0.529%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
DraftKings🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.10%E -0.529%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-18 22:50
GTbets🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.10%E -0.529%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-18 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.58%E -0.762%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-18 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.58%E -0.762%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-18 23:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.58%E -0.762%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-18 22:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.05%E -0.996%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-18 22:55
BetUS🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.05%E -0.996%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.53%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-18 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.00%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-18 23:10
BetAnything🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.00%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-18 23:09
SportsBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.95%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.43%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-18 23:00
Bovada🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.43%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-18 22:44
TAB🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-18 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:40
Bet Right🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 23:10
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 23:09
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 23:08
Coolbet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-18 22:54
Fliff🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-18 20:25
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-18 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-18 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-18 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.16%E -4.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-18 22:50
1xBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +1.23%E +0.639%K +1.33%G +0.016%	2.1%	2026-08-18 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-18 22:55
PlayUp🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 20:50
Neds🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 23:09
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 20:35
Betsson🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 20:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-18 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.06%E -2.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.33%E -3.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-18 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 23:10
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 23:09
Paddy Power🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-18 22:45
Fanatics🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-18 23:10
TABtouch🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-18 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.25%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.16%E -4.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-18 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -8.23%E -4.27%K -8.85%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 15:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-18 23:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-18 23:00
betano_uk🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-18 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -11.56%E -6.22%K -13.44%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -7.68%E -4.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-18 23:10

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎	2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%	0.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
Polymarket◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-08-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%	1.5%	2026-08-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%	1.5%	2026-08-18 23:10
Matchbook◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%	1.7%	2026-08-18 23:10
Kalshi◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%	1.9%	2026-08-18 17:55
BetOpenly◎	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%	2.0%	2026-08-18 23:00
Smarkets◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%	2.8%	2026-08-18 23:10
Novig◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 33.11%	1.00I 100.00%NM 66.89%	49.5%	2026-08-18 23:10