La scuola delle quote

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 4–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 41.11%2.43quota equa
EV -0.525%
Vantaggio -0.217%
Kelly -0.369%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.55%41.09%41.18%42.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.212.332.322.4245.25%43.01%43.10%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.89%1.70quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.986%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.40%58.91%58.82%60.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.65%61.73%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.525%E -0.217%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 17:30
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.936%E -0.388%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.35%E -0.561%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:19
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.35%E -0.561%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:40
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.35%E -0.561%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 15:19
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.35%E -0.561%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 16:59
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.35%E -0.561%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:39
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.76%E -0.735%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.24%E -1.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:19
LowVig.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.76%E -0.735%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.76%E -0.735%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:39
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.17%E -0.911%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.17%E -0.911%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:09
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 16:30
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 15:09
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:09
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:09
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:59
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:10
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:10
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:18
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:39
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 17:19
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 15:19
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 15:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 15:19
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 15:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 16:29
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 17:39
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:59
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 14:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:30
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -5.87%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:09
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.65%E -0.986%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:59
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.41%E -2.08%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 17:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 17:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 17:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -9.16%E -4.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%-0.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-28 17:40
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-28 17:09
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-28 17:39
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-06-28 17:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-06-28 17:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-06-28 17:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-06-28 17:40