Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-04-21 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–5 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 59.33%1.69odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.23%59.34%59.35%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.601.6564.52%62.10%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 40.67%2.46odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -0.656%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.66%40.65%41.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.352.4244.44%42.47%42.55%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 59.33%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 40.67%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.42, com valor esperado de -1.59%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.59%E -0.656%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-21 23:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 23:00
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 15:59
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:44
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:59
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:52
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 22:55
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 22:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 14:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 19:20
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 23:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 23:08
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 15:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.68%0.3%2026-04-21 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-21 22:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-21 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-21 22:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-21 22:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-21 23:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10