Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-04-22 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–2 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 59.12%1.69odd justa
EV -0.681%
Vantagem -0.405%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.92%59.14%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.611.6864.52%61.86%62.11%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 40.88%2.45odd justa
EV +0.568%
Vantagem +0.231%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%41.08%40.86%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.4645.45%42.63%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 59.12%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 40.88%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.45. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.568%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.568%E +0.231%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.0%2026-04-22 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.249%E -0.102%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.249%E -0.102%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.88%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-22 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.88%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 21:25
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.88%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.88%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.29%E -0.960%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:04
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 22:54
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 21:19
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:04
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.681%E -0.405%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 06:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 01:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:29
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:05
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 21:20
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:55
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.56%E -2.41%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 00:58
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 22:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 02:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.00%E -3.77%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.681%E -0.405%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -7.20%E -3.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 23:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.27%E -0.762%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.05%E -1.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-22 23:10
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-22 23:09
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-22 23:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-22 22:50
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-22 23:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-22 21:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-04-22 23:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-04-22 23:10