L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 17:41 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 10–1 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 58.09%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.736%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.15%58.14%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.621.7063.69%61.07%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.91%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.461%
Kelly -0.799%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%41.85%41.86%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.302.3645.45%43.61%43.48%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.25%E -0.736%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 17:10
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.25%E -0.736%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 17:20
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.25%E -0.736%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.25%E -0.736%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.83%E -1.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 17:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.83%E -1.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 17:29
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.41%E -1.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 17:30
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.41%E -1.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 17:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.51%E -0.641%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 14:47
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 12:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 12:40
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.28%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.99%E -1.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.57%E -2.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 17:39
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.57%E -2.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:00
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.57%E -2.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.51%E -0.641%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 17:00
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 12:48
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:49
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 14:49
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.12%E -2.73%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 16:59
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 15:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.09%E -0.461%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:39
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 12:40
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 12:40
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 12:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 14:49
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:29
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:39
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:39
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:40
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.48%E -4.02%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:29
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.51%E -0.641%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:39
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.06%E -4.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 17:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.80%E -5.61%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 15:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -8.80%E -5.61%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-31 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-31 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-31 17:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-31 17:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-31 14:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-31 17:40
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%1.7%2026-05-31 17:39
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-31 17:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-05-31 17:30
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%5.1%2026-05-31 17:40