La scuola delle quote

New York Mets v Detroit Tigers

Inizio: 2026-05-12 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 10–2 Detroit Tigers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 56.71%1.76quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.81%56.67%56.68%59.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.661.661.7364.52%60.37%60.24%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Tigers (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.29%2.31quota equa
EV +0.864%
Vantaggio +0.371%
Kelly +0.650%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.63%43.33%43.32%45.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.232.252.3350.00%44.91%44.44%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.26%E -5.79%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.864%E +0.371%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-12 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.26%E -5.79%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.864%E +0.371%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-12 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -9.26%E -5.79%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +0.864%E +0.371%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-12 23:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.434%E -0.189%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 20:25
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.64%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.434%E -0.189%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:15
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.64%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.434%E -0.189%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 22:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:09
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 22:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.56%E -4.64%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:20
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.56%E -4.64%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:10
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -10.40%E -6.58%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 23:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -10.96%E -6.98%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 23:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.53%E -7.39%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.30%E -0.570%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 23:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.73%E -0.763%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 23:00
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.17%E -0.958%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 16:35
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.17%E -0.958%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 21:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:10
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 12:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 02:44
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 02:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 20:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 20:05
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -11.53%E -7.39%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.10%E -7.81%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.86%E -3.53%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 15:45
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.56%E -4.64%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 23:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.86%E -3.53%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.46%E -1.55%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:45
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -9.26%E -5.79%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.46%E -1.55%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.90%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 23:09
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.90%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.90%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 23:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:09
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 15:20
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:09
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 15:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 23:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 20:45
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 23:10
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.20%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:30
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.63%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.86%E -3.53%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 23:09
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 23:01
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.70%E -5.40%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 23:10
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -6.99%E -4.27%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.04%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.96%0.8%2026-05-12 23:09
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-12 23:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-12 23:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-12 22:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-12 01:44
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%1.4%2026-05-12 23:10