La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-24 17:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–10 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 51.77%1.93momio equitativo
EV -0.601%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.76%51.79%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.841.831.9256.50%54.35%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 48.23%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%48.24%48.21%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.46%50.13%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.601%E -0.313%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.02%E -2.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 17:09
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.601%E -0.313%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.02%E -2.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 17:09
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 17:10
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 17:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 17:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 17:08
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 16:30
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 17:09
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.15%E -1.14%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.09%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 17:09
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-24 17:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:19
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 17:09
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 17:09
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 17:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.47%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 17:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 17:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 17:09
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:09
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.47%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.47%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 17:09
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.13%E -0.551%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-24 15:39
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 15:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:30
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 15:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 16:50
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 17:09
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:39
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 16:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 15:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 16:58
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.85%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.85%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 16:48
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.37%E -4.73%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-24 16:59
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-06-24 17:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-24 15:50
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%4.2%2026-06-24 17:10
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%5.7%2026-06-24 17:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-06-24 17:10