مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-06-25 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 3–4 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.87%2.01السعر العادل
EV -0.760%
الأفضلية -0.382%
Kelly -0.768%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.41%50.10%50.00%52.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.921.911.9955.56%52.18%52.36%50.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.13%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.631%
Kelly -1.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.75%49.90%50.00%51.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.52%52.36%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.760%E -0.382%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:20
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.760%E -0.382%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:50
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:20
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:20
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 23:09
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.26%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 22:09
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.76%E -1.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 21:40
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 22:09
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 23:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:09
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 23:10
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:09
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 23:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:10
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:10
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:59
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:20
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:10
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 22:09
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 22:08
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 22:59
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 22:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 14:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 17:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 15:09
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 23:08
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 21:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 18:40
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:09
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 22:09
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 23:00
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.25%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:59
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:10
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.74%E -4.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 22:40
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -2.75%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.24%E -0.631%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 22:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-06-25 23:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-25 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-25 22:50
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-25 23:10
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%2.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%4.7%2026-06-25 23:10