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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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New York Mets v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-09-15 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 5–7 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 54.62%1.83odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.938%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%54.62%54.60%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.751.751.8060.61%57.15%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 45.38%2.20odd justa
EV -0.613%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%45.38%45.40%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.102.102.1950.51%47.64%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 54.62%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 45.38%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.20. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.19, com valor esperado de -0.613%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.69%E -0.938%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.97%E -0.914%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-14 23:20
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.69%E -0.938%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.52%E -0.701%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 22:40
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.97%E -0.914%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 22:35
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.613%E -0.280%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-15 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.52%E -0.701%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.52%E -0.701%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 10:05
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:55
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.06%E -2.93%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:00
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.06%E -2.93%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 21:10
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.24%E -2.01%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:55
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:59
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:24
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.15%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 11:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 19:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 12:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.51%E -3.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.51%E -3.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 13:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:42
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.88%E -5.99%K -15.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.14%E -5.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-15 21:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 13:10
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 13:15
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-15 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-09-15 23:00
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-09-15 23:00