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New York Mets v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-09-14 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 1–2 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 56.43%1.77quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%56.30%56.40%57.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.20%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.57%2.30quota equa
EV -0.225%
Vantaggio -0.098%
Kelly -0.175%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.70%43.60%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.192.202.2948.78%45.68%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 56.43%; Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta): 43.57%. Per Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.30. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.29, con un valore atteso del -0.225%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 19:25
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:55
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:55
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.225%E -0.098%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.661%E -0.290%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.661%E -0.290%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 22:15
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 22:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 19:24
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:24
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.10%E -0.483%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.97%E -0.875%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-14 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:54
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 20:55
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:09
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 21:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 20:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.58%E -5.30%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.58%E -5.30%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -6.76%E -3.16%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.58%E -5.30%K -13.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-09-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-14 22:55
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-14 19:25
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-14 20:35
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-09-14 23:10
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-09-14 23:10
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-09-14 21:50
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.8%2026-09-14 23:09