Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-29 17:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 49.65%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%49.60%49.61%50.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.911.911.9754.64%52.33%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 50.35%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.931%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.73%50.40%50.39%51.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.891.901.9554.95%52.79%52.49%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.19%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.931%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 01:59
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.18%E -1.63%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:24
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.18%E -1.63%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 02:00
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 23:34
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.84%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:48
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 00:14
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 00:14
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 00:14
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:54
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:49
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:34
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:15
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:14
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:14
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:15
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:14
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:44
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 23:55
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:50
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:34
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:34
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:34
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 00:14
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 00:14
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:34
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:34
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:34
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.16%E -3.26%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.35%E -4.00%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 23:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.65%E -4.11%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 23:49
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.14%E -5.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 00:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-29 02:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-28 23:59
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%8.5%2026-07-29 02:14
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%10.2%2026-07-28 23:34
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%10.9%2026-07-29 02:14