L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 20:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 54.18%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.847%
Avantage -0.463%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.11%54.26%55.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.751.751.8358.82%57.04%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.82%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.341%
Avantage +0.156%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.27%45.89%45.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.1950.00%47.60%47.62%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.341%E +0.156%K +0.287%G +0.001%2.2%2026-04-08 13:55
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.49%E -0.694%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 19:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.49%E -0.694%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 19:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.56%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 18:45
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:44
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:45
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:44
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:45
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 18:45
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -1.95%E -0.911%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.41%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:25
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.41%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:25
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 13:55
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 18:54
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 18:54
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 18:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.847%E -0.463%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 19:35
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.39%E -0.763%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 19:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:24
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:29
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:24
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:33
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 12:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 12:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 19:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 19:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 19:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 19:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 19:34
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.78%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 19:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 19:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 20:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.56%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.16%E -2.49%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 19:37
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.64%E -2.64%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.16%E -2.49%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 19:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 19:30
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:09
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.10%E -2.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 20:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 20:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.07%E -2.96%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.847%E -0.463%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.53%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 20:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.36%E -4.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.36%E -4.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.56%E -2.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.36%E -4.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-08 20:00
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-04-08 20:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-04-08 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-04-08 20:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-04-08 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-04-08 20:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-04-08 19:30