Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-08-13 23:33 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.17%1.99odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.591%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.21%50.13%51.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9754.64%52.48%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 49.83%2.01odd justa
EV -0.341%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.341%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.32%49.79%49.87%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.14%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.17%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 49.83%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.341%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.16%E -0.591%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:19
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.16%E -0.591%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.16%E -0.591%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:19
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.16%E -0.591%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 21:04
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -1.34%E -0.675%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 23:24
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.932%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 23:22
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 13:58
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 05:04
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 23:29
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.34%E -0.675%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:54
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 13:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:19
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 21:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:19
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:34
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.33%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:54
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -0.341%E -0.170%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 23:28
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 18:04
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.83%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 21:04
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.68%E -3.59%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 23:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.68%E -3.59%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.68%E -3.59%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.19%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 18:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.19%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.19%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.19%E -3.88%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.69%E -4.18%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.32%E -3.93%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.19%E -4.47%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.82%K -10.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-13 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-13 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-13 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-13 23:29
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-13 23:29
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-13 23:29
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-13 06:55
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-13 22:05
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-13 23:29
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%3.6%2026-08-13 23:29