Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 45.67%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.014%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.84%45.68%45.74%47.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1950.00%47.90%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 54.33%1.84momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.856%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.42%54.32%54.26%55.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.761.761.8758.48%56.72%56.82%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 45.67%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 54.33%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.60%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -5.92%E -2.88%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +1.60%E +0.856%K +1.84%G +0.029%2.0%2026-05-16 13:50
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.66%E -0.917%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:09
Everygame🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.66%E -0.917%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 21:20
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.81%E -0.843%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:05
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.73%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 23:05
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 11:15
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 02:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 20:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.75%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.75%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:09
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.014%E +0.006%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-16 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.29%E -1.85%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:30
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.55%E -2.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 20:30
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.55%E -2.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 23:09
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.18%E -1.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 20:31
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 20:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 22:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.01%E -3.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.55%E -3.81%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.09%E -4.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-16 23:05
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-05-16 23:09
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-16 23:05
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-05-16 23:10