Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-05-15 23:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.03%2.00odd justa
EV +0.052%
Vantagem +0.026%
Kelly +0.052%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.99%50.00%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.912.0054.05%51.90%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 49.97%2.00odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.787%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.01%50.00%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.911.9755.56%52.77%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.03%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 49.97%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.999. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.052%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.052%E +0.026%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.05%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 23:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.052%E +0.026%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.05%E -5.58%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:34
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.05%E -4.37%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -1.45%E -0.735%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -8.05%E -4.37%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -0.994%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.05%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.95%E -0.994%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.95%E -0.994%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.55%E -4.67%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 23:05
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.55%E -0.787%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 20:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 21:15
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.05%E -2.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 20:54
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 23:00
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.55%E -2.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 19:54
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 20:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.05%E -2.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 20:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 12:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 10:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 11:24
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 09:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 21:25
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.55%E -2.94%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.05%E -2.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 19:54
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 19:58
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.50%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 20:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.95%E -3.74%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.05%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.55%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%-0.5%2026-05-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-15 23:05
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-15 20:50
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-15 23:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-05-15 23:10